Profile of cr4wler

I took the 29/10 date as it seems it was the latest update to the game (IIRC it was the flame patch). Taking previous dates is just taking into account a different patch.

I'll argue that small tweaks to OKW, adjusting ISG/Howie and nerfing Rifle company would had done way better than this whole OKW revamp.

even with retardedly stupid ISGs, OKW had lowest winrate.. and from watching 1v1 streamers, the games against OKW were laughable most of the time. i doubt that small adjustments would have helped... and even calling it "revamp" is a bit much.... all they really did was move a few units around in tiers, remove the ressource penalties and in turn remove some of the vet4/5 bonuses (and "smaller" changes to units... especially the kübel, which i think is one of the factors that is making OKW so strong right now).

taking into account older patches was EXACTLY what i wanted to do, since OKW has been "revamped" you can almost treat them like a "new" faction like the brits... so you'd expect them to behave as such in winrate.

Well here's my opinion of post Dec 3rd patch which is clearly shown on the first chart of every game mode (once you select the range):

Formula = wins/total games played %
Numbers = top 150 players' games post patch(Dec 3rd) to Dec 8th

1v1
OH: 69.13% 309/447
OKW: 70.08% 773/1103
SU: 57.48% 265/461
USF: 63.72% 353/554
UKF: 54.23% 186/343

2v2
OH: 63.17% 295/467
OKW: 75.31% 979/1300
SU: 48.64% 268/551
USF: 51.41% 346/673
UKF: 45.11% 217/481

3v3
OH: 68.89% 321/466
OKW: 78.56% 425/541
SU: 51.18% 130/254
USF: 51.57% 197/382
UKF: 60.33% 111/184

4v4
OH: 74.06% 574/775
OKW: 86.28% 975/1130
SU: 49.07% 371/756
USF: 51.80% 360/695
UKF: 46.00% 138/300

BTW, I'm too lazy to do a comparison from pre patch to now but if you just take a look... None of the game modes seem fair.
The highest percentage Allies ever reach is 63% but averages much lower on bigger modes. Where as Axis has a peak of 86% and averages around 70%.
I do not believe that by looking at these numbers you can say the game is balanced.

Even I switched over to OKW just so I can win some games... I got so tired of losing...

this is valid statistical data :-)

and yeah, while sample size is still rather small and since it encompasses the first few days after patch when people probably didn't know how to play against the new OKW it's probably still a bit skewed towards axis, but the trend is still clearly visible and disconcerting... i think that bC_ announced a hotfix though? should take care of the most blatantly obvious imbalances (hopefully).

(WL ratio for Y day) x (number of games of Y day) = number of win games.

Total of win games / Total of games played = ratio
OH: 64.66%
USF: 72.39%
UKF: 68.20%
OKW: 62.49%

still just samples (which is still pretty useless)? timeframe?

if you want representative winratios, post ALL numbers:

games won, games played, ratio. for each faction, while mentioning the timeframe. and use every available piece of data (as in every days data). otherwise a simple look at the graph of the winrates is more representative than those numbers.

edit: i forgot, also mention gamemode...

That's why i didn't take the 100% w/l into account, nevertheless...

OH: 64.66% I can do the same for the other factions as well. But it's not even close to the 50% you said.

?! where did i claim it was 50%? you claimed it was 66.23% winrate for ostheer, using a statistically useless way of trying to calculate the winrates. and if you look at my edit, you can see exactly why it's flawed (those are made up numbers, used to prove a point that your numbers are useless, because they don't represent the facts). i also showed you how to correctly determine the winrate for the top 150. you'll find that the numbers differ way more when calculating the winratios correctly.

edit: another example to make it clearer:
imagine 2 "samples" of 0% and 100% winrate. your way of calculating would give you 50% winrate. when in reality, without knowing the number of games, it could be anything in the interval (0,100) or 0 < x < 100.
assuming the 0% loss rate occured in a single game, while the 100% winrate had 9999 games played, we actually have 9999/10000 wins, or 99.99% winrate. or, the other way around, 9999 losses and 1 win, and 0.01% winrate. no way to tell by just looking at the winrates without incorporating the number of games.

Sorry to break the bubble but it was on fact pretty equally. I took the samples from October 29th to Dec2
SU: 0.6838 (30)
OH: 0.6623 (33)
USF: 0.7202 (35)
OKW: 0.6317 (35)
UKF: 0.6826 (35)

Numbers between brackets are the number of samples. I figured i skipped some number later as it was kinda hard to go through the graph on some occasions.


Edit:

2v2 was in fact imba, but 3v3 and 4v4 were the most balance it has ever been since release.

in case you just took the winratios per day and tried averaging them out... that's statistically useless. for example i don't know whether it was a bug or not, but on oct. 31st according to coh2chart.com there were 4 (!) ostheer games played all day, all wins. so suddenly you have a single day winratio of 100%. so, let's assume we average it out over the week, and the 6 other days have a perfectly balanced 50% winrate, the weeks average would be over 57%, with just 1 outlier. if you want statistically relevant data, use games played and winratio to figure out the amount of wins per game by adding both numbers up. you'll see that the numbers for axis are WAY lower now (if you look at ostheer for example, it is very visible that every day where ostheer has a high winratio coincides with very low amount of games played).

yeah, sorry to burst your bubble ;-)

edit:
should have made it clearer: assuming 6 days with 50% winrate and say 80 games played (so 40 wins per day) and 1 day with 100% winrate (and 4 wins out of 4 games) would equal roughly 57% with your formula, when statistically correct it should be roughly 50.4%