It is natural to assume that if the top 200 Allied players consistently lose, then THOSE EXACT 200 PEOPLE will then be paired against lower skill players, who they may win against, thus balancing the win ratio to roughly 50%.
It is also natural and without need for citation, that the overall win/loss ratio of all games must be 50/50. You can't have one player win a game and the other player not lose the game.
However, the top 200 players are not 200 fixed people. They fluctuate. It is easier to explain this by concrete example.
Assume that I am currently ranked 199 in USF 3v3. I lose a game, now I am at 201 USF 3v3. I win my next game, but because I am not in the top 200 FOR THAT GAME, the result is not recorded in the charts provided therein.
I lose my next game again, now putting me ranked 202. I win my next game, and go up to rank 201. I win my next game, and go up to rank 197.
Total games played: 5
won: 3
Lost: 2
However, because I won games outside of the top 200, they don't count in the top 200 statistics. Only my losses count. It is thus theoretically possible to have a 100% loss ratio reported, while winning 99% of your games.
BUT/HOWEVER/DOCH
The above example exists only in isolation. Assume every single USF player in the top 200 plays a game, and loses. They can't ALL be moved out of the top 200, because the rankings are scaled against each other. This is what ensures the validity of the results provided.
What's most worrying for me, is when the top 200 USF players struggle to win 50% of their games. It is possible that the effect I described above has some bearing on this worrying statistic. However, even if true (which tbh I doubt it is), there are still two factors which make it a valid concern nonetheless;
1.The same trend is not seen in the Axis
2. The effect I described above occurs by winning all games just outside the top 200, then losing once you get into it. This implies that USF players cannot win against axis players of similar skill, and can only win against lower-skilled players
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